Kenneth Walker’s explosive Week 1 debut with the Chiefs—173 rushing yards, two total touchdowns, and strong receiving work—has lifted his implied probability to 28% for the Week 2 PPR points lead against a Colts defense that surrendered heavy rushing production in Week 1. The market remains tightly bunched around 25% for a wide group of backs because projected workloads, pass-catching roles, and matchup edges are comparable across Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor, James Cook, Henry, and others, with consensus PPR projections clustered in the high teens to low 20s. Early-season variance, uncertain committee shares, and the value of receptions in PPR keep multiple realistic paths to the top score open.