Apple's pivot away from a near-term Vision Pro successor underpins the market's 96% "No" consensus. Credible reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in May and June 2026 shows Apple shelved the lighter "Vision Air" project, reassigned mixed-reality hardware teams to AI smart glasses targeted for late 2027, and placed any full next-generation headset on hold until it can deliver substantially lower weight and cost—pushing timelines to 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh was a modest internal update to the existing design, not a generational leap. While product roadmaps can shift with component breakthroughs or leadership changes, the consistent supply-chain and internal signals make a 2026 release highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
4% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
4% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's pivot away from a near-term Vision Pro successor underpins the market's 96% "No" consensus. Credible reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in May and June 2026 shows Apple shelved the lighter "Vision Air" project, reassigned mixed-reality hardware teams to AI smart glasses targeted for late 2027, and placed any full next-generation headset on hold until it can deliver substantially lower weight and cost—pushing timelines to 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh was a modest internal update to the existing design, not a generational leap. While product roadmaps can shift with component breakthroughs or leadership changes, the consistent supply-chain and internal signals make a 2026 release highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,222Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's pivot away from a near-term Vision Pro successor underpins the market's 96% "No" consensus. Credible reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in May and June 2026 shows Apple shelved the lighter "Vision Air" project, reassigned mixed-reality hardware teams to AI smart glasses targeted for late 2027, and placed any full next-generation headset on hold until it can deliver substantially lower weight and cost—pushing timelines to 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh was a modest internal update to the existing design, not a generational leap. While product roadmaps can shift with component breakthroughs or leadership changes, the consistent supply-chain and internal signals make a 2026 release highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$6,222Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Apple's pivot away from a near-term Vision Pro successor underpins the market's 96% "No" consensus. Credible reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in May and June 2026 shows Apple shelved the lighter "Vision Air" project, reassigned mixed-reality hardware teams to AI smart glasses targeted for late 2027, and placed any full next-generation headset on hold until it can deliver substantially lower weight and cost—pushing timelines to 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh was a modest internal update to the existing design, not a generational leap. While product roadmaps can shift with component breakthroughs or leadership changes, the consistent supply-chain and internal signals make a 2026 release highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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