OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly between $1.25 trillion and $2.0 trillion because the company’s last private mark stands at $852 billion following its March 2026 round, while CEO Sam Altman has signaled that any debut below $1 trillion is unacceptable, pushing the timeline toward 2027. Traders weigh rapid revenue growth to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate against projected operating losses exceeding $14 billion in 2026, plus competition from Anthropic’s higher private valuation and broader AI equity demand. The spread across brackets captures uncertainty over whether public-market multiples will support a meaningful premium or force a lower entry price if the company accelerates its filing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.4%
$2.5T+ 14.4%
$123,792 Vol.
$123,792 Vol.
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.4%
$2.5T+ 14.4%
$123,792 Vol.
$123,792 Vol.
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
14%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly between $1.25 trillion and $2.0 trillion because the company’s last private mark stands at $852 billion following its March 2026 round, while CEO Sam Altman has signaled that any debut below $1 trillion is unacceptable, pushing the timeline toward 2027. Traders weigh rapid revenue growth to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate against projected operating losses exceeding $14 billion in 2026, plus competition from Anthropic’s higher private valuation and broader AI equity demand. The spread across brackets captures uncertainty over whether public-market multiples will support a meaningful premium or force a lower entry price if the company accelerates its filing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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