Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program since 2019 stems from its acquisition of Russia’s S-400 air defense system, which triggers statutory restrictions under CAATSA and the FY2020 NDAA requiring certification that Ankara no longer possesses the system and will not acquire similar Russian equipment. In 2026, the Trump administration advanced a $700 million F110 engine sale for Turkey’s indigenous KAAN fighter and signaled openness to sanctions relief and F-35 access during bilateral meetings and the July NATO summit in Ankara. Turkish officials described negotiations as constructive and referenced “creative ideas” for resolving the S-400 issue, yet a reported transfer of the systems to the UAE collapsed by August, and the State Department confirmed in July that statutory conditions remain unmet. Congressional opposition and additional concerns over regional alignments continue to constrain progress, leaving any reentry dependent on verifiable S-400 disposition and legislative or executive action within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$45,046 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
8%
June 30, 2027
33%
$45,046 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$32,628 Vol.
8%
June 30, 2027
$12,418 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program since 2019 stems from its acquisition of Russia’s S-400 air defense system, which triggers statutory restrictions under CAATSA and the FY2020 NDAA requiring certification that Ankara no longer possesses the system and will not acquire similar Russian equipment. In 2026, the Trump administration advanced a $700 million F110 engine sale for Turkey’s indigenous KAAN fighter and signaled openness to sanctions relief and F-35 access during bilateral meetings and the July NATO summit in Ankara. Turkish officials described negotiations as constructive and referenced “creative ideas” for resolving the S-400 issue, yet a reported transfer of the systems to the UAE collapsed by August, and the State Department confirmed in July that statutory conditions remain unmet. Congressional opposition and additional concerns over regional alignments continue to constrain progress, leaving any reentry dependent on verifiable S-400 disposition and legislative or executive action within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Volume
$45,046Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program since 2019 stems from its acquisition of Russia’s S-400 air defense system, which triggers statutory restrictions under CAATSA and the FY2020 NDAA requiring certification that Ankara no longer possesses the system and will not acquire similar Russian equipment. In 2026, the Trump administration advanced a $700 million F110 engine sale for Turkey’s indigenous KAAN fighter and signaled openness to sanctions relief and F-35 access during bilateral meetings and the July NATO summit in Ankara. Turkish officials described negotiations as constructive and referenced “creative ideas” for resolving the S-400 issue, yet a reported transfer of the systems to the UAE collapsed by August, and the State Department confirmed in July that statutory conditions remain unmet. Congressional opposition and additional concerns over regional alignments continue to constrain progress, leaving any reentry dependent on verifiable S-400 disposition and legislative or executive action within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Volume
$45,046Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program since 2019 stems from its acquisition of Russia’s S-400 air defense system, which triggers statutory restrictions under CAATSA and the FY2020 NDAA requiring certification that Ankara no longer possesses the system and will not acquire similar Russian equipment. In 2026, the Trump administration advanced a $700 million F110 engine sale for Turkey’s indigenous KAAN fighter and signaled openness to sanctions relief and F-35 access during bilateral meetings and the July NATO summit in Ankara. Turkish officials described negotiations as constructive and referenced “creative ideas” for resolving the S-400 issue, yet a reported transfer of the systems to the UAE collapsed by August, and the State Department confirmed in July that statutory conditions remain unmet. Congressional opposition and additional concerns over regional alignments continue to constrain progress, leaving any reentry dependent on verifiable S-400 disposition and legislative or executive action within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong