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Teknolohiya·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

icon for Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Teknolohiya·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Up

88% tsansa
Polymarket

$25,972 Vol.

Up

88% tsansa
Polymarket

$25,972 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**AI-driven restructuring continues to drive elevated tech layoffs in 2026, with trackers reporting 129,000–172,000+ cuts year-to-date across dozens of firms.** Major players including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Intel, and Dell have announced large rounds explicitly tied to automation, efficiency gains, and reallocating resources toward AI infrastructure and model development. The pace exceeds 2025 levels, with AI cited as the leading reason in outplacement data for multiple months. Profitable companies are trimming corporate and middle-management layers to fund billions in capital spending on data centers and capabilities. While sustained economic strength or faster AI job creation in new roles could moderate totals, current momentum and repeated announcements support trader consensus that full-year 2026 layoffs will finish higher than the prior year.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**AI-driven restructuring continues to drive elevated tech layoffs in 2026, with trackers reporting 129,000–172,000+ cuts year-to-date across dozens of firms.** Major players including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Intel, and Dell have announced large rounds explicitly tied to automation, efficiency gains, and reallocating resources toward AI infrastructure and model development. The pace exceeds 2025 levels, with AI cited as the leading reason in outplacement data for multiple months. Profitable companies are trimming corporate and middle-management layers to fund billions in capital spending on data centers and capabilities. While sustained economic strength or faster AI job creation in new roles could moderate totals, current momentum and repeated announcements support trader consensus that full-year 2026 layoffs will finish higher than the prior year.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in September?

28%
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Walang magaganap na mga pagputol ng Fed rate sa 2026?

93%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" ay isang araw-araw prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares kung ang presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? ay magtatapos na mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa opening price nito sa loob ng araw-araw window na tinukoy sa titulo. Ang kasalukuyang market probability ay 91% para sa "Up." Ang presyong 91% ay nangangahulugang kolektibong binibigyan ng market ng 91% na tsansa ang outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga presyo sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na mga pagbabago ng presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay maaaring i-redeem ng $1 bawat isa kapag nag-resolve ang market.

Sa ngayon, ang "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" ay naka-generate ng $26K sa kabuuang trading volume. Ang mga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up or Down market ay umaakit ng mga aktibong trader na tumutugon sa live price movements sa real time — ang level na ito ng activity ay tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang Up/Down odds ay informed ng malalim na pool ng mga kalahok sa market. Maaari mong subaybayan ang mga live na presyo at maglagay ng trade direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?," magdesisyon kung naniniwala ka na ang presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? sa tanghali ET ng February 27 ay magiging mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? sa tanghali ET ng March 20. Bumili ng "Up" kung sa tingin mo tataas ang presyo araw-araw, o "Down" kung sa tingin mo bababa. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome sa resolution, nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1.00. Kung mali, ang mga share ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" ay 91% para sa "Up," na nangangahulugang ang Polymarket crowd ay kasalukuyang nagbibigay ng 91% na tsansa na ang presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? ay magtatapos na up sa araw-araw window na ito. Ang mga odds na ito ay nag-a-update sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na price data ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Sa buong araw, ang odds ay sumasalamin sa nagbabagong sentiment habang nagbubukas ang price action ng araw. Bumalik nang madalas o mag-trade ngayon bago magsara ang window.

Ang "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" market ay nire-resolve batay sa paghahambing ng presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? sa tanghali ET ng February 27 kumpara sa tanghali ET ng March 20, gamit ang Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. Kung mas mataas ang presyo sa February 27 sa tanghali, ang outcome ay "Up"; kung mas mababa, "Down"; kung pantay, ang market ay nire-resolve 50-50. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria at data source sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.