Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
2B–3B 20%
15B+ 14.0%
<2B 6.6%
10B–15B 6.0%
$91,038 Vol.
$91,038 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<2B
7%
2B–3B
26%
3B–4B
16%
4B–5B
40%
5B–7B
4%
7B–10B
20%
10B–15B
6%
15B+
10%
No IPO before 2028
6%
2B–3B 20%
15B+ 14.0%
<2B 6.6%
10B–15B 6.0%
$91,038 Vol.
$91,038 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<2B
$977 Vol.
7%
2B–3B
$54,549 Vol.
26%
3B–4B
$27,813 Vol.
16%
4B–5B
$1,422 Vol.
40%
5B–7B
$1,044 Vol.
4%
7B–10B
$1,226 Vol.
20%
10B–15B
$1,776 Vol.
6%
15B+
$1,464 Vol.
10%
No IPO before 2028
$767 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$91,038Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$91,038Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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