With no clear frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay, trader sentiment reflects the early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, where dozens of titles sit at 50% implied probability amid limited releases and untested campaigns. The Debut leads at 38.8% followed by Wild Horse Nine at 33.5%, while Digger, Obsession, and Elsinore trail in single digits, signaling that guild nominations, critics' circle wins, and festival buzz will likely determine momentum shifts. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often tighten late once precursors like the Writers Guild and PGA ballots arrive, leaving room for late surges or upsets from unheralded entries.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
The Debut 38.8%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Digger 9.3%
Obsession 8%
$37,519 Vol.
$37,519 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Debut
39%
Wild Horse Nine
34%
Digger
9%
Obsession
8%
Elsinore
6%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Josephine
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Fjord
1%
Club Kid
1%
Fatherland
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
The Black Ball
<1%
The Debut 38.8%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Digger 9.3%
Obsession 8%
$37,519 Vol.
$37,519 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Debut
$1,547 Vol.
39%
Wild Horse Nine
$27,452 Vol.
34%
Digger
$3,406 Vol.
9%
Obsession
$899 Vol.
8%
Elsinore
$878 Vol.
6%
The Drama
$59 Vol.
4%
The Invite
$80 Vol.
3%
Josephine
$59 Vol.
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$102 Vol.
3%
The Odyssey
$81 Vol.
3%
Fjord
$1,702 Vol.
1%
Club Kid
$555 Vol.
1%
Fatherland
$102 Vol.
1%
A Place in Hell
$122 Vol.
1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$168 Vol.
1%
Forgotten Island
$142 Vol.
1%
The Black Ball
$165 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no clear frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay, trader sentiment reflects the early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, where dozens of titles sit at 50% implied probability amid limited releases and untested campaigns. The Debut leads at 38.8% followed by Wild Horse Nine at 33.5%, while Digger, Obsession, and Elsinore trail in single digits, signaling that guild nominations, critics' circle wins, and festival buzz will likely determine momentum shifts. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often tighten late once precursors like the Writers Guild and PGA ballots arrive, leaving room for late surges or upsets from unheralded entries.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$37,519Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no clear frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay, trader sentiment reflects the early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, where dozens of titles sit at 50% implied probability amid limited releases and untested campaigns. The Debut leads at 38.8% followed by Wild Horse Nine at 33.5%, while Digger, Obsession, and Elsinore trail in single digits, signaling that guild nominations, critics' circle wins, and festival buzz will likely determine momentum shifts. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often tighten late once precursors like the Writers Guild and PGA ballots arrive, leaving room for late surges or upsets from unheralded entries.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,519Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With no clear frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay, trader sentiment reflects the early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, where dozens of titles sit at 50% implied probability amid limited releases and untested campaigns. The Debut leads at 38.8% followed by Wild Horse Nine at 33.5%, while Digger, Obsession, and Elsinore trail in single digits, signaling that guild nominations, critics' circle wins, and festival buzz will likely determine momentum shifts. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often tighten late once precursors like the Writers Guild and PGA ballots arrive, leaving room for late surges or upsets from unheralded entries.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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