Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
$24,471 Vol.
$24,471 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
9%
$24,471 Vol.
$24,471 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$11,093 Vol.
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
$13,378 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,471Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,471Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, with roughly 40% registered Republicans compared to 28% Democrats, combined with his uncontested primary and strong fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million versus his opponent's under $230,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Aaron Gies secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Kevin Stocker but faces structural barriers in this Southern Tier and western New York district. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Langworthy aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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