Virginia’s Democratic-led legislature passed a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting aimed at shifting the state’s 11 House districts. Voters narrowly approved the referendum in April, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the measure in May on procedural grounds tied to the amendment’s placement on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene later that month. With primaries already conducted and ballots finalized under the existing post-2020 lines, traders assign overwhelming probability to the original map remaining in place for the November midterms. A viable legislative workaround or successful late appeal before Election Day represents the narrowest remaining pathways that could still alter the outcome.