Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$117,455 Vol.
$117,455 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Trent Kelly (R)
95%
Cliff Johnson (D)
4%
$117,455 Vol.
$117,455 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Trent Kelly (R)
$85,217 Vol.
95%
Cliff Johnson (D)
$32,239 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$117,455Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$117,455Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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