Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026, defeating former Representative Cori Bush by a 59–37 margin in the primary. The heavily Democratic St. Louis-area seat carries a partisan lean exceeding D+29, consistent with Bell’s 76 percent general-election victory in 2024. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, won his low-turnout primary by a narrow margin and faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Election forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders price Bell above 96 percent because the district’s voter base and Bell’s unified party support after the primary create high barriers to an upset, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMO-01 House Election Winner
$36,824 Vol.
$36,824 Vol.
Wesley Bell (D)
97%
Paul Berry (R)
2%
$36,824 Vol.
$36,824 Vol.
Wesley Bell (D)
97%
Paul Berry (R)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026, defeating former Representative Cori Bush by a 59–37 margin in the primary. The heavily Democratic St. Louis-area seat carries a partisan lean exceeding D+29, consistent with Bell’s 76 percent general-election victory in 2024. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, won his low-turnout primary by a narrow margin and faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Election forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders price Bell above 96 percent because the district’s voter base and Bell’s unified party support after the primary create high barriers to an upset, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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