Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for MLB: 2026 WAR Leader
Palakasan·Baseball

MLB: 2026 WAR Leader

icon for MLB: 2026 WAR Leader
Palakasan·Baseball

MLB: 2026 WAR Leader

Pete Crow-Armstrong 93%

Chris Sale 46%

Dylan Cease 25.4%

Dillon Dingler 5.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Pete Crow-Armstrong 93%

Chris Sale 46%

Dylan Cease 25.4%

Dillon Dingler 5.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$269 Vol.

93%

Chris Sale

$75 Vol.

46%

Dylan Cease

$86 Vol.

25%

Dillon Dingler

$86 Vol.

6%

Cristopher Sánchez

$19 Vol.

5%

Cam Schlittler

$86 Vol.

5%

Jacob Misiorowski

$86 Vol.

3%

Shohei Ohtani

$159 Vol.

3%

Yordan Alvarez

$175 Vol.

3%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$78 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s commanding 93% implied probability reflects his league-leading fWAR pace near 9.0, driven by elite center-field defense, 36 stolen bases, 41 home runs, and a .281/.375/.572 slash line through 146 games. The Cubs outfielder’s combination of power, speed, durability, and Gold Glove-caliber play in a premium position has created separation from position-player peers like Bobby Witt Jr. and Yordan Alvarez while outpacing pitchers such as Chris Sale and Cristopher Sánchez. Trader consensus views the gap as difficult to close in the final weeks, though a late injury, prolonged slump, or unexpected surge from a two-way contributor like Shohei Ohtani could still narrow the margin before season’s end.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,119
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s commanding 93% implied probability reflects his league-leading fWAR pace near 9.0, driven by elite center-field defense, 36 stolen bases, 41 home runs, and a .281/.375/.572 slash line through 146 games. The Cubs outfielder’s combination of power, speed, durability, and Gold Glove-caliber play in a premium position has created separation from position-player peers like Bobby Witt Jr. and Yordan Alvarez while outpacing pitchers such as Chris Sale and Cristopher Sánchez. Trader consensus views the gap as difficult to close in the final weeks, though a late injury, prolonged slump, or unexpected surge from a two-way contributor like Shohei Ohtani could still narrow the margin before season’s end.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,119
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?

Will Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?

50%
icon for Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

3%
icon for Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

75%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Pete Crow-Armstrong" sa 93%, sinusundan ng "Chris Sale" sa 46%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 93¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 93% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 28, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" ay "Pete Crow-Armstrong" sa 93%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 93% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Chris Sale" sa 46%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.