Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$59,571 Vol.
$59,571 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Andy Harris (R)
94%
Dan Schwartz (D)
7%
$59,571 Vol.
$59,571 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Andy Harris (R)
$33,551 Vol.
94%
Dan Schwartz (D)
$26,019 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$59,571Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,571Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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