Salihu Danladi, the APC candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading implied probability after securing his party's nomination through a May 2026 primary where he defeated multiple rivals with over 65% of votes. Incumbent Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq's endorsement, President Tinubu's public support, and INEC's late-August publication of candidates have reinforced his position ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the PDP stands as the main challenger, backed by party structures and regional coordination. Lingering APC internal divisions from the primary, including opposition from groups like the G10, alongside zoning dynamics across senatorial districts and PDP efforts to consolidate, keep the contest competitive and limit any single candidate's dominance in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign activities could shift momentum depending on cross-zonal mobilization and alliance stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSalihu Danladi 51%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 42%
Zakari Mohammed <1%
Ajibade Adekunle <1%
$12,029 Vol.
$12,029 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
52%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
48%
Zakari Mohammed
1%
Ajibade Adekunle
<1%
Salihu Danladi 51%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 42%
Zakari Mohammed <1%
Ajibade Adekunle <1%
$12,029 Vol.
$12,029 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
$6,774 Vol.
52%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
$4,491 Vol.
48%
Zakari Mohammed
$464 Vol.
1%
Ajibade Adekunle
$300 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Danladi, the APC candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading implied probability after securing his party's nomination through a May 2026 primary where he defeated multiple rivals with over 65% of votes. Incumbent Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq's endorsement, President Tinubu's public support, and INEC's late-August publication of candidates have reinforced his position ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the PDP stands as the main challenger, backed by party structures and regional coordination. Lingering APC internal divisions from the primary, including opposition from groups like the G10, alongside zoning dynamics across senatorial districts and PDP efforts to consolidate, keep the contest competitive and limit any single candidate's dominance in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign activities could shift momentum depending on cross-zonal mobilization and alliance stability.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$12,029Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 6, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Danladi, the APC candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading implied probability after securing his party's nomination through a May 2026 primary where he defeated multiple rivals with over 65% of votes. Incumbent Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq's endorsement, President Tinubu's public support, and INEC's late-August publication of candidates have reinforced his position ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the PDP stands as the main challenger, backed by party structures and regional coordination. Lingering APC internal divisions from the primary, including opposition from groups like the G10, alongside zoning dynamics across senatorial districts and PDP efforts to consolidate, keep the contest competitive and limit any single candidate's dominance in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign activities could shift momentum depending on cross-zonal mobilization and alliance stability.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$12,029Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 6, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Salihu Danladi, the APC candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading implied probability after securing his party's nomination through a May 2026 primary where he defeated multiple rivals with over 65% of votes. Incumbent Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq's endorsement, President Tinubu's public support, and INEC's late-August publication of candidates have reinforced his position ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the PDP stands as the main challenger, backed by party structures and regional coordination. Lingering APC internal divisions from the primary, including opposition from groups like the G10, alongside zoning dynamics across senatorial districts and PDP efforts to consolidate, keep the contest competitive and limit any single candidate's dominance in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign activities could shift momentum depending on cross-zonal mobilization and alliance stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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