The market-implied 97.3% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the rapid containment of a limited Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship earlier this year. Official CDC and WHO surveillance confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths from this zoonotic strain, which can involve limited person-to-person spread via close contact but showed no sustained community transmission after 42-day quarantines and contact tracing ended in June. Sporadic Sin Nombre virus cases in the U.S. remain consistent with historical rodent-driven patterns and low incidence. While a mutation enabling efficient airborne human transmission could theoretically shift outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological data and monitoring timelines indicate negligible pandemic risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3% tsansa
$18,361,267 Vol.
$18,361,267 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% tsansa
$18,361,267 Vol.
$18,361,267 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market-implied 97.3% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the rapid containment of a limited Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship earlier this year. Official CDC and WHO surveillance confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths from this zoonotic strain, which can involve limited person-to-person spread via close contact but showed no sustained community transmission after 42-day quarantines and contact tracing ended in June. Sporadic Sin Nombre virus cases in the U.S. remain consistent with historical rodent-driven patterns and low incidence. While a mutation enabling efficient airborne human transmission could theoretically shift outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological data and monitoring timelines indicate negligible pandemic risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$18,361,267Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market-implied 97.3% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the rapid containment of a limited Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship earlier this year. Official CDC and WHO surveillance confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths from this zoonotic strain, which can involve limited person-to-person spread via close contact but showed no sustained community transmission after 42-day quarantines and contact tracing ended in June. Sporadic Sin Nombre virus cases in the U.S. remain consistent with historical rodent-driven patterns and low incidence. While a mutation enabling efficient airborne human transmission could theoretically shift outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological data and monitoring timelines indicate negligible pandemic risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,361,267Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market-implied 97.3% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the rapid containment of a limited Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship earlier this year. Official CDC and WHO surveillance confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths from this zoonotic strain, which can involve limited person-to-person spread via close contact but showed no sustained community transmission after 42-day quarantines and contact tracing ended in June. Sporadic Sin Nombre virus cases in the U.S. remain consistent with historical rodent-driven patterns and low incidence. While a mutation enabling efficient airborne human transmission could theoretically shift outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological data and monitoring timelines indicate negligible pandemic risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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