Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead the first-round leader market at the Amgen Irish Open at Trump Doonbeg due to their strong ball-striking profiles and local familiarity on the links layout, where wind and firm conditions reward accuracy off the tee and approach play. Harrington’s 31 consecutive appearances provide unmatched course-management insight at an unfamiliar venue, while Smith ranks among the field’s most accurate drivers recently. Jon Rahm’s two prior Irish Open titles and recent LIV form add weight, though his DP World Tour schedule remains limited. A broad group of in-form players—including Jacob Skov Olesen, Oliver Lindell, and Matt Wallace—sit close behind on recent low-round trends and solid tee-to-green numbers, creating tight implied probabilities. The new venue and variable autumn weather further flatten the field, as no player holds a decisive historical edge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJordan Smith 74%
Padraig Harrington 74%
Jon Rahm 35%
Joaquin Niemann 34%
Jordan Smith
74%
Padraig Harrington
74%
Jon Rahm
35%
Joaquin Niemann
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Matt Wallace
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Mark Power
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Maximilian Steinlechner
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Jung-Hwan Lee
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Adrian Meronk
31%
Max Kennedy
31%
Mikael Lindberg
31%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
31%
Patrick Reed
31%
Ashun Wu
31%
Bernd Wiesberger
31%
Casey Jarvis
31%
Daniel Gavins
31%
Gregorio De Leo
31%
Harry Hall
31%
Joakim Lagergren
31%
David Puig
31%
Martin Couvra
31%
Nathan Kimsey
31%
Niklas Lemke
31%
Marcel Schneider
30%
Calum Hill
30%
David Ravetto
28%
Julien Guerrier
28%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
28%
Kota Kaneko
28%
Paul Waring
28%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
26%
Jordan Smith 74%
Padraig Harrington 74%
Jon Rahm 35%
Joaquin Niemann 34%
Jordan Smith
74%
Padraig Harrington
74%
Jon Rahm
35%
Joaquin Niemann
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Matt Wallace
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Mark Power
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Maximilian Steinlechner
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Jung-Hwan Lee
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Adrian Meronk
31%
Max Kennedy
31%
Mikael Lindberg
31%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
31%
Patrick Reed
31%
Ashun Wu
31%
Bernd Wiesberger
31%
Casey Jarvis
31%
Daniel Gavins
31%
Gregorio De Leo
31%
Harry Hall
31%
Joakim Lagergren
31%
David Puig
31%
Martin Couvra
31%
Nathan Kimsey
31%
Niklas Lemke
31%
Marcel Schneider
30%
Calum Hill
30%
David Ravetto
28%
Julien Guerrier
28%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
28%
Kota Kaneko
28%
Paul Waring
28%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
26%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead the first-round leader market at the Amgen Irish Open at Trump Doonbeg due to their strong ball-striking profiles and local familiarity on the links layout, where wind and firm conditions reward accuracy off the tee and approach play. Harrington’s 31 consecutive appearances provide unmatched course-management insight at an unfamiliar venue, while Smith ranks among the field’s most accurate drivers recently. Jon Rahm’s two prior Irish Open titles and recent LIV form add weight, though his DP World Tour schedule remains limited. A broad group of in-form players—including Jacob Skov Olesen, Oliver Lindell, and Matt Wallace—sit close behind on recent low-round trends and solid tee-to-green numbers, creating tight implied probabilities. The new venue and variable autumn weather further flatten the field, as no player holds a decisive historical edge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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