Iranian officials and parliamentarians have repeatedly floated withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty since U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and renewed attacks in early 2026, citing these as justification under Article X for supreme national interests. Legislative proposals have been submitted and discussed, often tied to IAEA referrals, sanctions snapback, and inspector access disputes, yet none have advanced to formal notice or exit. Tehran continues to affirm NPT membership while suspending safeguards cooperation and limiting IAEA verification, treating the treaty as leverage in negotiations rather than an immediate exit vehicle. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified steps toward departure, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic costs of withdrawal alongside Iran's pattern of using the threat for bargaining.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
14% โอกาส
$417,356 ปริมาณ
$417,356 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
14% โอกาส
$417,356 ปริมาณ
$417,356 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials and parliamentarians have repeatedly floated withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty since U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and renewed attacks in early 2026, citing these as justification under Article X for supreme national interests. Legislative proposals have been submitted and discussed, often tied to IAEA referrals, sanctions snapback, and inspector access disputes, yet none have advanced to formal notice or exit. Tehran continues to affirm NPT membership while suspending safeguards cooperation and limiting IAEA verification, treating the treaty as leverage in negotiations rather than an immediate exit vehicle. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified steps toward departure, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic costs of withdrawal alongside Iran's pattern of using the threat for bargaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$417,356วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials and parliamentarians have repeatedly floated withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty since U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and renewed attacks in early 2026, citing these as justification under Article X for supreme national interests. Legislative proposals have been submitted and discussed, often tied to IAEA referrals, sanctions snapback, and inspector access disputes, yet none have advanced to formal notice or exit. Tehran continues to affirm NPT membership while suspending safeguards cooperation and limiting IAEA verification, treating the treaty as leverage in negotiations rather than an immediate exit vehicle. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified steps toward departure, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic costs of withdrawal alongside Iran's pattern of using the threat for bargaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$417,356วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials and parliamentarians have repeatedly floated withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty since U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and renewed attacks in early 2026, citing these as justification under Article X for supreme national interests. Legislative proposals have been submitted and discussed, often tied to IAEA referrals, sanctions snapback, and inspector access disputes, yet none have advanced to formal notice or exit. Tehran continues to affirm NPT membership while suspending safeguards cooperation and limiting IAEA verification, treating the treaty as leverage in negotiations rather than an immediate exit vehicle. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified steps toward departure, trader consensus reflects the high procedural and diplomatic costs of withdrawal alongside Iran's pattern of using the threat for bargaining.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย