Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$411,955 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
9%
John Brennan
22%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
11%
Adam Schiff
2%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
21%
James Clapper
11%
Letitia James
9%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
1%
$411,955 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
$164,421 ปริมาณ
9%
John Brennan
$22,244 ปริมาณ
22%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,455 ปริมาณ
11%
Adam Schiff
$16,570 ปริมาณ
2%
Barack Obama
$29,276 ปริมาณ
2%
James Comey
$10,821 ปริมาณ
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,329 ปริมาณ
21%
James Clapper
$7,264 ปริมาณ
11%
Letitia James
$3,047 ปริมาณ
9%
Hillary Clinton
$26,182 ปริมาณ
2%
Bill Clinton
$2,726 ปริมาณ
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 ปริมาณ
8%
Susan Rice
$304 ปริมาณ
8%
Candace Owens
$268 ปริมาณ
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,425 ปริมาณ
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,936 ปริมาณ
5%
John Kerry
$503 ปริมาณ
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 ปริมาณ
2%
Tom Homan
$41,331 ปริมาณ
5%
Kash Patel
$598 ปริมาณ
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,290 ปริมาณ
11%
Lisa Cook
$4,005 ปริมาณ
4%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 ปริมาณ
11%
Joe Biden
$7,565 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$411,955ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$411,955ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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