The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense commitments and explicitly invites additional members through accession processes. Trader sentiment reflects Egypt's elevated positioning, driven by its participation in the prior R4 consultative framework, Turkish statements identifying Cairo as a natural partner once technical and constitutional steps are addressed, and ongoing bilateral coordination. Iraq draws attention from reported interest signals and regional alignment patterns, while lower probabilities for states such as the UAE, Qatar, or Algeria stem from fewer public endorsements or accession roadmaps. Recent Istanbul ministerial meetings focused on institutional structures, including a Saudi secretariat and joint exercises, without confirming new joiners. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, diplomatic timelines and formal notifications remain the primary variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
$56,117 ปริมาณ

Jordan
14%

Bahrain
11%

Qatar
11%

United Arab Emirates
11%

Kuwait
11%

Sudan
10%

Somalia
9%

Egypt
9%

Morocco
9%

Oman
9%

Yemen
8%

Algeria
8%

Iran
8%

Iraq
7%

Syria
5%

Lebanon
2%
$56,117 ปริมาณ

Jordan
14%

Bahrain
11%

Qatar
11%

United Arab Emirates
11%

Kuwait
11%

Sudan
10%

Somalia
9%

Egypt
9%

Morocco
9%

Oman
9%

Yemen
8%

Algeria
8%

Iran
8%

Iraq
7%

Syria
5%

Lebanon
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense commitments and explicitly invites additional members through accession processes. Trader sentiment reflects Egypt's elevated positioning, driven by its participation in the prior R4 consultative framework, Turkish statements identifying Cairo as a natural partner once technical and constitutional steps are addressed, and ongoing bilateral coordination. Iraq draws attention from reported interest signals and regional alignment patterns, while lower probabilities for states such as the UAE, Qatar, or Algeria stem from fewer public endorsements or accession roadmaps. Recent Istanbul ministerial meetings focused on institutional structures, including a Saudi secretariat and joint exercises, without confirming new joiners. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, diplomatic timelines and formal notifications remain the primary variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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