Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong name recognition, consistent electoral success, and moderate positioning in a Democratic-leaning state have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects for the November 3, 2026, contest. Scott secured the GOP nomination unopposed after primaries on August 11, while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly prevailed in a competitive primary against Aly Richards on a progressive platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded social services. Recent polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though one survey noted his approval rating at a record low. Janoo has recently outraised the incumbent in fundraising, yet Scott retains a substantial cash advantage and focuses resources on down-ballot races. These dynamics sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVermont Governor Election Winner
Vermont Governor Election Winner
$66,964 ปริมาณ
$66,964 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Phil Scott (R)
87%
Amanda Janoo (D)
11%
$66,964 ปริมาณ
$66,964 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Phil Scott (R)
$32,039 ปริมาณ
87%
Amanda Janoo (D)
$34,925 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong name recognition, consistent electoral success, and moderate positioning in a Democratic-leaning state have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects for the November 3, 2026, contest. Scott secured the GOP nomination unopposed after primaries on August 11, while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly prevailed in a competitive primary against Aly Richards on a progressive platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded social services. Recent polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though one survey noted his approval rating at a record low. Janoo has recently outraised the incumbent in fundraising, yet Scott retains a substantial cash advantage and focuses resources on down-ballot races. These dynamics sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,964วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong name recognition, consistent electoral success, and moderate positioning in a Democratic-leaning state have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects for the November 3, 2026, contest. Scott secured the GOP nomination unopposed after primaries on August 11, while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly prevailed in a competitive primary against Aly Richards on a progressive platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded social services. Recent polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though one survey noted his approval rating at a record low. Janoo has recently outraised the incumbent in fundraising, yet Scott retains a substantial cash advantage and focuses resources on down-ballot races. These dynamics sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,964วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong name recognition, consistent electoral success, and moderate positioning in a Democratic-leaning state have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects for the November 3, 2026, contest. Scott secured the GOP nomination unopposed after primaries on August 11, while Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly prevailed in a competitive primary against Aly Richards on a progressive platform emphasizing wealth redistribution and expanded social services. Recent polling from July showed Scott ahead by double digits, though one survey noted his approval rating at a record low. Janoo has recently outraised the incumbent in fundraising, yet Scott retains a substantial cash advantage and focuses resources on down-ballot races. These dynamics sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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