SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors, enabling the planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic transfer demonstration in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July validated key V3 elements including Raptor relight and intact reentry but performed no docking or refueling. The immediate focus is Flight 14, targeted for September 22, which aims for the first true orbital insertion, six-orbit duration, and operational Starlink V3 deployment. Full two-vehicle docking requires sequential launches, FAA clearances for extended orbital operations, and a dedicated tanker-target pair, factors that have kept near-term resolution odds low while supporting stronger consensus for a 2027 outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$70,296 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
3%
December 31, 2027
47%
$70,296 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$46,234 ปริมาณ
3%
December 31, 2027
$24,063 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors, enabling the planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic transfer demonstration in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July validated key V3 elements including Raptor relight and intact reentry but performed no docking or refueling. The immediate focus is Flight 14, targeted for September 22, which aims for the first true orbital insertion, six-orbit duration, and operational Starlink V3 deployment. Full two-vehicle docking requires sequential launches, FAA clearances for extended orbital operations, and a dedicated tanker-target pair, factors that have kept near-term resolution odds low while supporting stronger consensus for a 2027 outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors, enabling the planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic transfer demonstration in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July validated key V3 elements including Raptor relight and intact reentry but performed no docking or refueling. The immediate focus is Flight 14, targeted for September 22, which aims for the first true orbital insertion, six-orbit duration, and operational Starlink V3 deployment. Full two-vehicle docking requires sequential launches, FAA clearances for extended orbital operations, and a dedicated tanker-target pair, factors that have kept near-term resolution odds low while supporting stronger consensus for a 2027 outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors, enabling the planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic transfer demonstration in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July validated key V3 elements including Raptor relight and intact reentry but performed no docking or refueling. The immediate focus is Flight 14, targeted for September 22, which aims for the first true orbital insertion, six-orbit duration, and operational Starlink V3 deployment. Full two-vehicle docking requires sequential launches, FAA clearances for extended orbital operations, and a dedicated tanker-target pair, factors that have kept near-term resolution odds low while supporting stronger consensus for a 2027 outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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