Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, placing it on track for a plurality or minority of seats while leaving the official-opposition role open. The Parti libéral du Québec has stabilized or edged higher in the low-20s range in several late-September surveys, buoyed by strength among non-francophone and Montreal-area voters, giving it the clearest path to second place in seat totals. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette, has slipped to the low-20s and trails in most seat models after losing ground during the campaign. The Parti conservateur du Québec has narrowed the gap with the Liberals in raw vote share but remains behind in projected ridings. These patterns explain why traders assign the Liberals the highest probability for second place and keep the CAQ as the main alternative.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPLQ 61%
CAQ 37%
PQ 5.4%
PCQ <1%
$29,939 ปริมาณ
$29,939 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
61%
CAQ
37%
PQ
5%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 61%
CAQ 37%
PQ 5.4%
PCQ <1%
$29,939 ปริมาณ
$29,939 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$7,726 ปริมาณ
61%
CAQ
$10,182 ปริมาณ
37%
PQ
$7,000 ปริมาณ
5%
PCQ
$1,844 ปริมาณ
<1%
QS
$1,788 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, placing it on track for a plurality or minority of seats while leaving the official-opposition role open. The Parti libéral du Québec has stabilized or edged higher in the low-20s range in several late-September surveys, buoyed by strength among non-francophone and Montreal-area voters, giving it the clearest path to second place in seat totals. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette, has slipped to the low-20s and trails in most seat models after losing ground during the campaign. The Parti conservateur du Québec has narrowed the gap with the Liberals in raw vote share but remains behind in projected ridings. These patterns explain why traders assign the Liberals the highest probability for second place and keep the CAQ as the main alternative.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,939วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, placing it on track for a plurality or minority of seats while leaving the official-opposition role open. The Parti libéral du Québec has stabilized or edged higher in the low-20s range in several late-September surveys, buoyed by strength among non-francophone and Montreal-area voters, giving it the clearest path to second place in seat totals. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette, has slipped to the low-20s and trails in most seat models after losing ground during the campaign. The Parti conservateur du Québec has narrowed the gap with the Liberals in raw vote share but remains behind in projected ridings. These patterns explain why traders assign the Liberals the highest probability for second place and keep the CAQ as the main alternative.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,939วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow popular-vote lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, placing it on track for a plurality or minority of seats while leaving the official-opposition role open. The Parti libéral du Québec has stabilized or edged higher in the low-20s range in several late-September surveys, buoyed by strength among non-francophone and Montreal-area voters, giving it the clearest path to second place in seat totals. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Christine Fréchette, has slipped to the low-20s and trails in most seat models after losing ground during the campaign. The Parti conservateur du Québec has narrowed the gap with the Liberals in raw vote share but remains behind in projected ridings. These patterns explain why traders assign the Liberals the highest probability for second place and keep the CAQ as the main alternative.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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