Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28 percent, positioning it for first place while leaving the race for second closely contested. The Parti Libéral du Québec has edged ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec in most recent surveys, with support in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting modest Liberal gains among anglophone and allophone voters and a slight CAQ decline amid voter fatigue with the incumbent government. The CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following a leadership transition, trails despite earlier campaign momentum on issues such as cost of living and U.S. trade relations. Traders assign the highest probability to the PLQ finishing second, consistent with seat projections that favor it for official opposition status over the CAQ and smaller parties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPLQ 63%
CAQ 34%
PQ 6.1%
PCQ <1%
$29,682 ปริมาณ
$29,682 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
63%
CAQ
34%
PQ
7%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 63%
CAQ 34%
PQ 6.1%
PCQ <1%
$29,682 ปริมาณ
$29,682 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$7,696 ปริมาณ
63%
CAQ
$10,048 ปริมาณ
34%
PQ
$6,907 ปริมาณ
7%
PCQ
$1,843 ปริมาณ
<1%
QS
$1,788 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28 percent, positioning it for first place while leaving the race for second closely contested. The Parti Libéral du Québec has edged ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec in most recent surveys, with support in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting modest Liberal gains among anglophone and allophone voters and a slight CAQ decline amid voter fatigue with the incumbent government. The CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following a leadership transition, trails despite earlier campaign momentum on issues such as cost of living and U.S. trade relations. Traders assign the highest probability to the PLQ finishing second, consistent with seat projections that favor it for official opposition status over the CAQ and smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,682วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28 percent, positioning it for first place while leaving the race for second closely contested. The Parti Libéral du Québec has edged ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec in most recent surveys, with support in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting modest Liberal gains among anglophone and allophone voters and a slight CAQ decline amid voter fatigue with the incumbent government. The CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following a leadership transition, trails despite earlier campaign momentum on issues such as cost of living and U.S. trade relations. Traders assign the highest probability to the PLQ finishing second, consistent with seat projections that favor it for official opposition status over the CAQ and smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,682วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28 percent, positioning it for first place while leaving the race for second closely contested. The Parti Libéral du Québec has edged ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec in most recent surveys, with support in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting modest Liberal gains among anglophone and allophone voters and a slight CAQ decline amid voter fatigue with the incumbent government. The CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following a leadership transition, trails despite earlier campaign momentum on issues such as cost of living and U.S. trade relations. Traders assign the highest probability to the PLQ finishing second, consistent with seat projections that favor it for official opposition status over the CAQ and smaller parties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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