Recent polling during the 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, its strongest levels to date, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and among certain voter groups. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the party in the 7-18 seat range, reflecting first-past-the-post dynamics where regional concentration and vote efficiency determine outcomes more than raw vote share. Competition from the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals in overlapping ridings, combined with the new electoral map of 127 divisions, sustains uncertainty. Minor shifts in turnout or late-campaign movement could alter the final tally before polling day on October 5.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8-10 25%
17+ 21.1%
5-7 19%
11-13 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<5
4%
5-7
16%
8-10
25%
11-13
19%
14-16
10%
17+
18%
8-10 25%
17+ 21.1%
5-7 19%
11-13 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,979 ปริมาณ
4%
5-7
$838 ปริมาณ
16%
8-10
$1,374 ปริมาณ
25%
11-13
$1,439 ปริมาณ
19%
14-16
$1,017 ปริมาณ
10%
17+
$1,072 ปริมาณ
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, its strongest levels to date, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and among certain voter groups. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the party in the 7-18 seat range, reflecting first-past-the-post dynamics where regional concentration and vote efficiency determine outcomes more than raw vote share. Competition from the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals in overlapping ridings, combined with the new electoral map of 127 divisions, sustains uncertainty. Minor shifts in turnout or late-campaign movement could alter the final tally before polling day on October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,719วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, its strongest levels to date, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and among certain voter groups. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the party in the 7-18 seat range, reflecting first-past-the-post dynamics where regional concentration and vote efficiency determine outcomes more than raw vote share. Competition from the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals in overlapping ridings, combined with the new electoral map of 127 divisions, sustains uncertainty. Minor shifts in turnout or late-campaign movement could alter the final tally before polling day on October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,719วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, its strongest levels to date, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and among certain voter groups. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the party in the 7-18 seat range, reflecting first-past-the-post dynamics where regional concentration and vote efficiency determine outcomes more than raw vote share. Competition from the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals in overlapping ridings, combined with the new electoral map of 127 divisions, sustains uncertainty. Minor shifts in turnout or late-campaign movement could alter the final tally before polling day on October 5.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย