Jack Lowden’s surge to a 37.9% market-implied probability stems from late-August and early-September 2026 comments by Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman, who said producers “have made their choice” and crossed his fingers for Lowden, alongside screenwriter Steven Knight’s hints that knowing the actor has eased scripting. Trader consensus reflects Lowden’s rising profile in the spy genre, British background, and alignment with Amazon MGM’s reported preference for a younger lead under director Denis Villeneuve. “No Bond chosen” at 19.6% captures the lack of official confirmation, while shorter-priced names like Jack Barton, Callum Turner, and Jacob Elordi remain in the mix amid ongoing auditions. Amy Pascal has signaled a likely announcement by year-end, positioning that deadline as the next key catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 37.9%
No Bond chosen 18.1%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 9.4%
$780,592 ปริมาณ
$780,592 ปริมาณ
Jack Lowden
38%
No Bond chosen
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
9%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
3%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 37.9%
No Bond chosen 18.1%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 9.4%
$780,592 ปริมาณ
$780,592 ปริมาณ
Jack Lowden
38%
No Bond chosen
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
9%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
3%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Jack Lowden’s surge to a 37.9% market-implied probability stems from late-August and early-September 2026 comments by Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman, who said producers “have made their choice” and crossed his fingers for Lowden, alongside screenwriter Steven Knight’s hints that knowing the actor has eased scripting. Trader consensus reflects Lowden’s rising profile in the spy genre, British background, and alignment with Amazon MGM’s reported preference for a younger lead under director Denis Villeneuve. “No Bond chosen” at 19.6% captures the lack of official confirmation, while shorter-priced names like Jack Barton, Callum Turner, and Jacob Elordi remain in the mix amid ongoing auditions. Amy Pascal has signaled a likely announcement by year-end, positioning that deadline as the next key catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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