Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as outside the court's jurisdiction. Trader probabilities for arrest by late 2026 remain low because the United States is not an ICC member, the Trump administration has sanctioned court personnel and stated explicitly that Netanyahu will not be detained on U.S. soil, and no ICC state party has moved to enforce the warrant during his travels. His planned 24-hour UN General Assembly appearance in New York in September 2026 follows public calls by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for arrest, though city officials lack authority and federal enforcement is not expected. Domestically, Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trial in Jerusalem continues without custody, as he remains prime minister.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$25,464 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
<1%
December 31
7%
$25,464 ปริมาณ
September 30
$19,094 ปริมาณ
<1%
December 31
$6,370 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as outside the court's jurisdiction. Trader probabilities for arrest by late 2026 remain low because the United States is not an ICC member, the Trump administration has sanctioned court personnel and stated explicitly that Netanyahu will not be detained on U.S. soil, and no ICC state party has moved to enforce the warrant during his travels. His planned 24-hour UN General Assembly appearance in New York in September 2026 follows public calls by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for arrest, though city officials lack authority and federal enforcement is not expected. Domestically, Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trial in Jerusalem continues without custody, as he remains prime minister.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,464วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as outside the court's jurisdiction. Trader probabilities for arrest by late 2026 remain low because the United States is not an ICC member, the Trump administration has sanctioned court personnel and stated explicitly that Netanyahu will not be detained on U.S. soil, and no ICC state party has moved to enforce the warrant during his travels. His planned 24-hour UN General Assembly appearance in New York in September 2026 follows public calls by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for arrest, though city officials lack authority and federal enforcement is not expected. Domestically, Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trial in Jerusalem continues without custody, as he remains prime minister.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,464วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as outside the court's jurisdiction. Trader probabilities for arrest by late 2026 remain low because the United States is not an ICC member, the Trump administration has sanctioned court personnel and stated explicitly that Netanyahu will not be detained on U.S. soil, and no ICC state party has moved to enforce the warrant during his travels. His planned 24-hour UN General Assembly appearance in New York in September 2026 follows public calls by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for arrest, though city officials lack authority and federal enforcement is not expected. Domestically, Netanyahu's ongoing corruption trial in Jerusalem continues without custody, as he remains prime minister.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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