Kawhi Leonard’s move to the Toronto Raptors and strong preseason three-point volume in limited minutes have positioned him at the top of trader consensus for the 2026-27 threes-made-per-game leader, though Stephen Curry remains close behind despite Warriors load-management plans aimed at preserving his availability after recent knee issues. Multiple high-volume shooters including LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards, Donovan Mitchell, and Lauri Markkanen post comparable recent per-game outputs, while specialists like Miles McBride and role players with expanded opportunities create additional contenders. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects uncertainty over minutes, attempt rates, team pace, and health across an 82-game slate, where small differences in usage or injuries can shift outcomes among established perimeter creators and emerging volume shooters.
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