South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has repeatedly proposed direct inter-Korean talks on ending the armistice, establishing a peace regime, and addressing nuclear issues, while coordinating with Washington to facilitate broader diplomacy. North Korea has shown no interest in engaging Seoul, instead conducting multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in September 2026 and reiterating demands that the United States drop its “hostile policy” and accept Pyongyang’s nuclear status before any discussions. Recent U.S. efforts, including scaled-back joint exercises and President Trump’s expressed interest in a possible summit with Kim Jong Un, have not produced North Korean reciprocity toward the South. Upcoming milestones such as the Trump-Xi meeting and the UN General Assembly could influence signaling, yet persistent missile activity and Pyongyang’s rejection of Seoul’s overtures continue to constrain prospects for bilateral talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?
Будут ли Северная и Южная Корея вести прямые переговоры...?
$119,139 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
19%
$119,139 Объем
31 декабря
$35,387 Объем
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has repeatedly proposed direct inter-Korean talks on ending the armistice, establishing a peace regime, and addressing nuclear issues, while coordinating with Washington to facilitate broader diplomacy. North Korea has shown no interest in engaging Seoul, instead conducting multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in September 2026 and reiterating demands that the United States drop its “hostile policy” and accept Pyongyang’s nuclear status before any discussions. Recent U.S. efforts, including scaled-back joint exercises and President Trump’s expressed interest in a possible summit with Kim Jong Un, have not produced North Korean reciprocity toward the South. Upcoming milestones such as the Trump-Xi meeting and the UN General Assembly could influence signaling, yet persistent missile activity and Pyongyang’s rejection of Seoul’s overtures continue to constrain prospects for bilateral talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Объем
$119,139Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has repeatedly proposed direct inter-Korean talks on ending the armistice, establishing a peace regime, and addressing nuclear issues, while coordinating with Washington to facilitate broader diplomacy. North Korea has shown no interest in engaging Seoul, instead conducting multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in September 2026 and reiterating demands that the United States drop its “hostile policy” and accept Pyongyang’s nuclear status before any discussions. Recent U.S. efforts, including scaled-back joint exercises and President Trump’s expressed interest in a possible summit with Kim Jong Un, have not produced North Korean reciprocity toward the South. Upcoming milestones such as the Trump-Xi meeting and the UN General Assembly could influence signaling, yet persistent missile activity and Pyongyang’s rejection of Seoul’s overtures continue to constrain prospects for bilateral talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$119,139Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has repeatedly proposed direct inter-Korean talks on ending the armistice, establishing a peace regime, and addressing nuclear issues, while coordinating with Washington to facilitate broader diplomacy. North Korea has shown no interest in engaging Seoul, instead conducting multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in September 2026 and reiterating demands that the United States drop its “hostile policy” and accept Pyongyang’s nuclear status before any discussions. Recent U.S. efforts, including scaled-back joint exercises and President Trump’s expressed interest in a possible summit with Kim Jong Un, have not produced North Korean reciprocity toward the South. Upcoming milestones such as the Trump-Xi meeting and the UN General Assembly could influence signaling, yet persistent missile activity and Pyongyang’s rejection of Seoul’s overtures continue to constrain prospects for bilateral talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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