Traders assign a 95.5% probability to “No” for Jennica Pounds, known online as DataRepublican, appearing for public congressional testimony by the October 31, 2026 deadline because no committee has issued an invitation, subpoena, or scheduling announcement, and her profile as a private data analyst and former Pentagon Special Government Employee does not align with typical triggers for hearings. Congressional panels can review her publicly available grant-tracking tools and datasets without requiring live testimony, and recent reporting on her August 2026 interactions with State Department officials has produced no legislative follow-up or oversight process. With roughly five weeks remaining, the absence of any announced catalysts—such as active investigations into federal spending, DOGE-related matters, or agency actions—supports the strong market consensus. A last-minute subpoena tied to her prior government role or an unforeseen escalation in a congressional inquiry remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the cutoff.