Saudi Arabia’s insistence on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood remains the central obstacle, with Riyadh repeatedly stating that normalization with Israel is off the table absent such progress amid the current Israeli government’s positions. With only months left before 2027, this longstanding precondition—coupled with Riyadh’s pursuit of alternative security arrangements involving Turkey, Pakistan, and Egypt—has kept major expansion prospects stalled despite U.S. pressure linking a civilian nuclear deal to Abraham Accords accession. Speculative comments about possible Kuwaiti entry lack confirmed timelines or commitments, while recent activity has centered on deepening ties with existing signatories like Morocco rather than new accessions. Traders therefore assign high probability to no new country joining before the deadline.