The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in May and now the fastest-growing on record with over 7,400 confirmed cases and 3,500-plus deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for this market. Imported cases have already hit Uganda (with limited transmission, now resolved) and France, while insecurity, population movements, and healthcare strains fuel concerns over further exports to neighbors like South Sudan, Rwanda, Burundi, and the Republic of the Congo. Recent declines in Ituri contrast with rises elsewhere, keeping cross-border risks elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds reflect these containment challenges and historical patterns of regional spread, with upcoming surveillance updates and response scaling as key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,787 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
South Sudan
41%
Rwanda
20%
Burundi
38%
United States
19%
Canada
37%
Kenya
23%
India
43%
Republic of the Congo
21%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
50%
Somalia
34%
China
14%
$38,787 Объем
South Sudan
$4,406 Объем
41%
Rwanda
$2,216 Объем
20%
Burundi
$202 Объем
38%
United States
$10,507 Объем
19%
Canada
$2,307 Объем
37%
Kenya
$237 Объем
23%
India
$737 Объем
43%
Republic of the Congo
$12,408 Объем
21%
Nigeria
$25 Объем
50%
Ethiopia
$107 Объем
50%
Somalia
$129 Объем
34%
China
$3,551 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in May and now the fastest-growing on record with over 7,400 confirmed cases and 3,500-plus deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for this market. Imported cases have already hit Uganda (with limited transmission, now resolved) and France, while insecurity, population movements, and healthcare strains fuel concerns over further exports to neighbors like South Sudan, Rwanda, Burundi, and the Republic of the Congo. Recent declines in Ituri contrast with rises elsewhere, keeping cross-border risks elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds reflect these containment challenges and historical patterns of regional spread, with upcoming surveillance updates and response scaling as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Объем
$38,787Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in May and now the fastest-growing on record with over 7,400 confirmed cases and 3,500-plus deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for this market. Imported cases have already hit Uganda (with limited transmission, now resolved) and France, while insecurity, population movements, and healthcare strains fuel concerns over further exports to neighbors like South Sudan, Rwanda, Burundi, and the Republic of the Congo. Recent declines in Ituri contrast with rises elsewhere, keeping cross-border risks elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds reflect these containment challenges and historical patterns of regional spread, with upcoming surveillance updates and response scaling as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$38,787Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in May and now the fastest-growing on record with over 7,400 confirmed cases and 3,500-plus deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for this market. Imported cases have already hit Uganda (with limited transmission, now resolved) and France, while insecurity, population movements, and healthcare strains fuel concerns over further exports to neighbors like South Sudan, Rwanda, Burundi, and the Republic of the Congo. Recent declines in Ituri contrast with rises elsewhere, keeping cross-border risks elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds reflect these containment challenges and historical patterns of regional spread, with upcoming surveillance updates and response scaling as key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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