Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles. Harris secured renomination with roughly 80 percent of the Republican primary vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a June primary but trails in available polling and faces structural disadvantages in a district covering the Eastern Shore and Harford County. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from successful mid-cycle redistricting via the November ballot measure, a national Democratic surge, or unforeseen developments affecting Harris’s candidacy before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$59,571 Объем
$59,571 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Энди Харрис (Р)
94%
Дэн Шварц (Д)
7%
$59,571 Объем
$59,571 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Энди Харрис (Р)
$33,551 Объем
94%
Дэн Шварц (Д)
$26,019 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles. Harris secured renomination with roughly 80 percent of the Republican primary vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a June primary but trails in available polling and faces structural disadvantages in a district covering the Eastern Shore and Harford County. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from successful mid-cycle redistricting via the November ballot measure, a national Democratic surge, or unforeseen developments affecting Harris’s candidacy before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$59,571Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles. Harris secured renomination with roughly 80 percent of the Republican primary vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a June primary but trails in available polling and faces structural disadvantages in a district covering the Eastern Shore and Harford County. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from successful mid-cycle redistricting via the November ballot measure, a national Democratic surge, or unforeseen developments affecting Harris’s candidacy before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$59,571Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and repeated double-digit victories in prior cycles. Harris secured renomination with roughly 80 percent of the Republican primary vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz advanced from a June primary but trails in available polling and faces structural disadvantages in a district covering the Eastern Shore and Harford County. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from successful mid-cycle redistricting via the November ballot measure, a national Democratic surge, or unforeseen developments affecting Harris’s candidacy before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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