The withdrawal of St. Petersburg’s Gazprom Arena as host in late August, citing no signed rental agreement, remains the dominant factor behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that Ye will not perform in Russia by October 31. Announced shows for October 10–11 sold out rapidly after mid-August confirmation by promoters and the venue itself, yet the stadium’s reversal highlighted logistical and reputational hurdles tied to the rapper’s past controversies. Promoter Say Agency maintained the dates were not canceled, but no alternative Russian venue or rescheduling has been verified in the ensuing weeks. With the deadline weeks away and Ye’s recent tour stops facing repeated disruptions, traders appear to view a confirmed performance as increasingly unlikely absent swift new announcements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКанье Уэст выступит в России до 31 октября?
Канье Уэст выступит в России до 31 октября?
Да
31% вероятность
$429,813 Объем
$429,813 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Да
31% вероятность
$429,813 Объем
$429,813 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The withdrawal of St. Petersburg’s Gazprom Arena as host in late August, citing no signed rental agreement, remains the dominant factor behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that Ye will not perform in Russia by October 31. Announced shows for October 10–11 sold out rapidly after mid-August confirmation by promoters and the venue itself, yet the stadium’s reversal highlighted logistical and reputational hurdles tied to the rapper’s past controversies. Promoter Say Agency maintained the dates were not canceled, but no alternative Russian venue or rescheduling has been verified in the ensuing weeks. With the deadline weeks away and Ye’s recent tour stops facing repeated disruptions, traders appear to view a confirmed performance as increasingly unlikely absent swift new announcements.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 7:53 AM ET
Объем
$429,813Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 7:53 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The withdrawal of St. Petersburg’s Gazprom Arena as host in late August, citing no signed rental agreement, remains the dominant factor behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that Ye will not perform in Russia by October 31. Announced shows for October 10–11 sold out rapidly after mid-August confirmation by promoters and the venue itself, yet the stadium’s reversal highlighted logistical and reputational hurdles tied to the rapper’s past controversies. Promoter Say Agency maintained the dates were not canceled, but no alternative Russian venue or rescheduling has been verified in the ensuing weeks. With the deadline weeks away and Ye’s recent tour stops facing repeated disruptions, traders appear to view a confirmed performance as increasingly unlikely absent swift new announcements.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$429,813Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 7:53 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The withdrawal of St. Petersburg’s Gazprom Arena as host in late August, citing no signed rental agreement, remains the dominant factor behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that Ye will not perform in Russia by October 31. Announced shows for October 10–11 sold out rapidly after mid-August confirmation by promoters and the venue itself, yet the stadium’s reversal highlighted logistical and reputational hurdles tied to the rapper’s past controversies. Promoter Say Agency maintained the dates were not canceled, but no alternative Russian venue or rescheduling has been verified in the ensuing weeks. With the deadline weeks away and Ye’s recent tour stops facing repeated disruptions, traders appear to view a confirmed performance as increasingly unlikely absent swift new announcements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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