**Ossoff maintains a steady polling lead averaging 6-8 points over Republican Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters.** Strong fundraising, high Democratic base turnout, and advantages among women and Black voters underpin trader confidence that the incumbent will win reelection on November 3 and remain in office beyond his current term ending in early 2027. Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028 and shows no signs of departure. The 97% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus, though outcomes could shift with late polling movement, the October 8 debate, turnout surges, or unforeseen national developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
3% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
3% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Ossoff maintains a steady polling lead averaging 6-8 points over Republican Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters.** Strong fundraising, high Democratic base turnout, and advantages among women and Black voters underpin trader confidence that the incumbent will win reelection on November 3 and remain in office beyond his current term ending in early 2027. Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028 and shows no signs of departure. The 97% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus, though outcomes could shift with late polling movement, the October 8 debate, turnout surges, or unforeseen national developments.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Объем
$1,184Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Ossoff maintains a steady polling lead averaging 6-8 points over Republican Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters.** Strong fundraising, high Democratic base turnout, and advantages among women and Black voters underpin trader confidence that the incumbent will win reelection on November 3 and remain in office beyond his current term ending in early 2027. Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028 and shows no signs of departure. The 97% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus, though outcomes could shift with late polling movement, the October 8 debate, turnout surges, or unforeseen national developments.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Объем
$1,184Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Ossoff maintains a steady polling lead averaging 6-8 points over Republican Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters.** Strong fundraising, high Democratic base turnout, and advantages among women and Black voters underpin trader confidence that the incumbent will win reelection on November 3 and remain in office beyond his current term ending in early 2027. Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028 and shows no signs of departure. The 97% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus, though outcomes could shift with late polling movement, the October 8 debate, turnout surges, or unforeseen national developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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