US citizenship revocation for Eileen Gu faces steep statutory barriers under federal law, which limits loss of birthright citizenship to narrow grounds such as naturalization fraud or specific criminal conduct rather than athletic representation of another nation. No active DOJ proceedings, legislative proposals targeting her status, or executive actions have emerged despite continued public debate and criticism tied to her competition for China at the 2026 Winter Olympics. Traders assign 97.8% probability to “No” by year-end because the resolution window closes December 31, 2026, and no administrative process is underway. Low-probability shifts could arise only from unforeseen statutory changes or previously undisclosed evidence of prior fraud, neither of which has surfaced in credible reporting.