Recent capacity strains and server_overloaded errors across Codex CLI, desktop app, and API have kept reliability concerns elevated through early October 2026. Multiple users report repeated failures on long-running tasks despite substantial remaining quota, following usage resets that triggered demand spikes after the September 25 full outage. That incident disrupted Codex Web, API, CLI, and VS Code extension for nearly an hour, prompting OpenAI to reset paid limits and apologize for the disruption. Ongoing degraded performance episodes, including Dot feature and thread-creation issues on October 7, plus persistent Windows renderer problems, reinforce trader views that infrastructure pressure from rapid adoption will likely produce at least one more outage before year-end.