The new 3-2-1 NBA lottery format for the 2027 draft flattens probabilities across 16 eligible teams, capping the bottom three records at just 5.4% odds for the top pick while granting non-playoff clubs 8.1% and play-in participants lower shares. This structure, combined with the 2026-27 season yet to begin, leaves trader consensus tightly bunched because projected lottery contenders such as the Bulls, Grizzlies, Clippers, Warriors, Thunder, Magic, 76ers, Suns, Hawks, Celtics, Hornets, and others enter with comparable roster profiles, recent form, and schedule difficulty. Rebuilding dynamics, roster turnover from the prior offseason, and the prohibition on back-to-back No. 1 selections further compress implied probabilities near 10-11% for most participants, reflecting broad uncertainty over which clubs will finish with the weakest records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAtlanta Hawks 21%
Boston Celtics 21%
Charlotte Hornets 21%
Cleveland Cavaliers 21%
Atlanta Hawks
21%
Boston Celtics
21%
Charlotte Hornets
21%
Cleveland Cavaliers
21%
Denver Nuggets
21%
Detroit Pistons
21%
Indiana Pacers
21%
Los Angeles Lakers
21%
Memphis Grizzlies
21%
Miami Heat
21%
Minnesota Timberwolves
21%
New Orleans Pelicans
21%
New York Knicks
21%
Portland Trail Blazers
21%
Sacramento Kings
21%
San Antonio Spurs
21%
Toronto Raptors
21%
Utah Jazz
21%
Washington Wizards
21%
Houston Rockets
12%
Milwaukee Bucks
12%
Chicago Bulls
11%
Dallas Mavericks
11%
Los Angeles Clippers
11%
Golden State Warriors
11%
Oklahoma City Thunder
11%
Orlando Magic
11%
Philadelphia 76ers
11%
Phoenix Suns
11%
Brooklyn Nets
10%
Atlanta Hawks 21%
Boston Celtics 21%
Charlotte Hornets 21%
Cleveland Cavaliers 21%
Atlanta Hawks
21%
Boston Celtics
21%
Charlotte Hornets
21%
Cleveland Cavaliers
21%
Denver Nuggets
21%
Detroit Pistons
21%
Indiana Pacers
21%
Los Angeles Lakers
21%
Memphis Grizzlies
21%
Miami Heat
21%
Minnesota Timberwolves
21%
New Orleans Pelicans
21%
New York Knicks
21%
Portland Trail Blazers
21%
Sacramento Kings
21%
San Antonio Spurs
21%
Toronto Raptors
21%
Utah Jazz
21%
Washington Wizards
21%
Houston Rockets
12%
Milwaukee Bucks
12%
Chicago Bulls
11%
Dallas Mavericks
11%
Los Angeles Clippers
11%
Golden State Warriors
11%
Oklahoma City Thunder
11%
Orlando Magic
11%
Philadelphia 76ers
11%
Phoenix Suns
11%
Brooklyn Nets
10%
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The new 3-2-1 NBA lottery format for the 2027 draft flattens probabilities across 16 eligible teams, capping the bottom three records at just 5.4% odds for the top pick while granting non-playoff clubs 8.1% and play-in participants lower shares. This structure, combined with the 2026-27 season yet to begin, leaves trader consensus tightly bunched because projected lottery contenders such as the Bulls, Grizzlies, Clippers, Warriors, Thunder, Magic, 76ers, Suns, Hawks, Celtics, Hornets, and others enter with comparable roster profiles, recent form, and schedule difficulty. Rebuilding dynamics, roster turnover from the prior offseason, and the prohibition on back-to-back No. 1 selections further compress implied probabilities near 10-11% for most participants, reflecting broad uncertainty over which clubs will finish with the weakest records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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