The collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that no acquisition of any part of PayPal occurs this year. Trader consensus reflects the valuation gap that prompted PayPal’s board to deem the offer inadequate amid regulatory and financing hurdles, compounded by the target’s Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance that bolstered its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores. With talks abandoned and only months remaining, the near-term catalyst window has narrowed sharply. A renewed or alternative approach could still surface if PayPal’s operational momentum falters or market conditions shift, though such developments face elevated execution risk given the recent impasse.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
10% chance
$85,621 Vol.
$85,621 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
10% chance
$85,621 Vol.
$85,621 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that no acquisition of any part of PayPal occurs this year. Trader consensus reflects the valuation gap that prompted PayPal’s board to deem the offer inadequate amid regulatory and financing hurdles, compounded by the target’s Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance that bolstered its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores. With talks abandoned and only months remaining, the near-term catalyst window has narrowed sharply. A renewed or alternative approach could still surface if PayPal’s operational momentum falters or market conditions shift, though such developments face elevated execution risk given the recent impasse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$85,621Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that no acquisition of any part of PayPal occurs this year. Trader consensus reflects the valuation gap that prompted PayPal’s board to deem the offer inadequate amid regulatory and financing hurdles, compounded by the target’s Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance that bolstered its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores. With talks abandoned and only months remaining, the near-term catalyst window has narrowed sharply. A renewed or alternative approach could still surface if PayPal’s operational momentum falters or market conditions shift, though such developments face elevated execution risk given the recent impasse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$85,621Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that no acquisition of any part of PayPal occurs this year. Trader consensus reflects the valuation gap that prompted PayPal’s board to deem the offer inadequate amid regulatory and financing hurdles, compounded by the target’s Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance that bolstered its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores. With talks abandoned and only months remaining, the near-term catalyst window has narrowed sharply. A renewed or alternative approach could still surface if PayPal’s operational momentum falters or market conditions shift, though such developments face elevated execution risk given the recent impasse.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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