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icon for Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

icon for Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

$24,270 Vol.

1 out 2026
Polymarket

$24,270 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$13,659 Vol.

20%

31 de dezembro

$10,611 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s aggressive 2026 output and ongoing FOMO rollout shape trader views on another album release this year. The May 15 surprise triple drop of Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honour delivered 43 tracks, chart dominance, and 15 total Billboard 200 No. 1s for the artist. Fresh studio photos in August and social posts teasing “Fear of Missing Out” have fueled speculation of a fourth project. A YouTube livestream set for September 15 at 9 p.m. ET now serves as the immediate catalyst, with fans anticipating new music or visuals. Historical patterns show Drake frequently follows major drops with additional singles or projects, though exact timing remains fluid and unconfirmed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$24,270
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s aggressive 2026 output and ongoing FOMO rollout shape trader views on another album release this year. The May 15 surprise triple drop of Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honour delivered 43 tracks, chart dominance, and 15 total Billboard 200 No. 1s for the artist. Fresh studio photos in August and social posts teasing “Fear of Missing Out” have fueled speculation of a fourth project. A YouTube livestream set for September 15 at 9 p.m. ET now serves as the immediate catalyst, with fans anticipating new music or visuals. Historical patterns show Drake frequently follows major drops with additional singles or projects, though exact timing remains fluid and unconfirmed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$24,270
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 54%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" has generated $24.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.