SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, setting the stage for the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated key V3 capabilities including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, but involved only a single vehicle. The upcoming Flight 14, targeted for September 22, 2026, marks the first orbital insertion attempt with Starlink V3 deployment, advancing the prerequisites for multi-ship operations. Trader sentiment centers on whether FAA clearances and launch cadence will enable a dedicated 2026 propellant transfer test involving sequential tanker and target launches, a milestone Elon Musk has described as simpler than Dragon-ISS docking yet still pending full orbital demonstrations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
$70,303 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
3%
31 de dezembro de 2027
50%
$70,303 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$46,234 Vol.
3%
31 de dezembro de 2027
$24,069 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, setting the stage for the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated key V3 capabilities including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, but involved only a single vehicle. The upcoming Flight 14, targeted for September 22, 2026, marks the first orbital insertion attempt with Starlink V3 deployment, advancing the prerequisites for multi-ship operations. Trader sentiment centers on whether FAA clearances and launch cadence will enable a dedicated 2026 propellant transfer test involving sequential tanker and target launches, a milestone Elon Musk has described as simpler than Dragon-ISS docking yet still pending full orbital demonstrations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$70,303Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, setting the stage for the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated key V3 capabilities including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, but involved only a single vehicle. The upcoming Flight 14, targeted for September 22, 2026, marks the first orbital insertion attempt with Starlink V3 deployment, advancing the prerequisites for multi-ship operations. Trader sentiment centers on whether FAA clearances and launch cadence will enable a dedicated 2026 propellant transfer test involving sequential tanker and target launches, a milestone Elon Musk has described as simpler than Dragon-ISS docking yet still pending full orbital demonstrations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$70,303Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, setting the stage for the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 demonstrated key V3 capabilities including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, but involved only a single vehicle. The upcoming Flight 14, targeted for September 22, 2026, marks the first orbital insertion attempt with Starlink V3 deployment, advancing the prerequisites for multi-ship operations. Trader sentiment centers on whether FAA clearances and launch cadence will enable a dedicated 2026 propellant transfer test involving sequential tanker and target launches, a milestone Elon Musk has described as simpler than Dragon-ISS docking yet still pending full orbital demonstrations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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