Jorge Martin holds the 2026 MotoGP points lead at 256 after 13 rounds, narrowly ahead of Marc Márquez on 237 and Marco Bezzecchi on 232, with Fabio Di Giannantonio and Ai Ogura also within striking distance. Márquez’s recent victories, including a dominant Aragon win, have tightened the championship and boosted his implied probability among traders. Aprilia’s strong form with Martin and Bezzecchi, combined with Ducati’s pace, creates multiple viable title paths. Injury absences for riders like Ogura and Vinales further scramble the field ahead of Misano, sustaining the bunched probabilities as the season’s remaining rounds reward consistency amid unpredictable results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRaul Fernandez 73%
Fermin Aldeguer 70%
Fabio Quartararo 64%
Luca Marini 59%
NOVO
NOVO
29 nov 2026
Raul Fernandez
73%
Fermin Aldeguer
70%
Fabio Quartararo
64%
Luca Marini
59%
Marc Marquez
43%
Augusto Fernandez
27%
Joan Mir
25%
Maverick Vinales
25%
Jorge Martin
23%
Marco Bezzecchi
23%
Johann Zarco
22%
Franco Morbidelli
21%
Iker Lecuona
19%
Enea Bastianini
18%
Pedro Acosta
17%
Alex Marquez
15%
Diogo Moreira
14%
Toprak Razgatlioglu
14%
Ai Ogura
6%
Fabio Di Giannantonio
5%
Francesco Bagnaia
4%
Brad Binder
3%
Pol Espargaro
3%
Jack Miller
1%
Alex Rins
1%
Raul Fernandez 73%
Fermin Aldeguer 70%
Fabio Quartararo 64%
Luca Marini 59%
NOVO
NOVO
29 nov 2026
Raul Fernandez
$10 Vol.
73%
Fermin Aldeguer
$10 Vol.
70%
Fabio Quartararo
$11 Vol.
64%
Luca Marini
$10 Vol.
59%
Marc Marquez
$40 Vol.
43%
Augusto Fernandez
$10 Vol.
27%
Joan Mir
$10 Vol.
25%
Maverick Vinales
$10 Vol.
25%
Jorge Martin
$53 Vol.
23%
Marco Bezzecchi
$69 Vol.
23%
Johann Zarco
$10 Vol.
22%
Franco Morbidelli
$10 Vol.
21%
Iker Lecuona
$41 Vol.
19%
Enea Bastianini
$10 Vol.
18%
Pedro Acosta
$10 Vol.
17%
Alex Marquez
$10 Vol.
15%
Diogo Moreira
$10 Vol.
14%
Toprak Razgatlioglu
$10 Vol.
14%
Ai Ogura
$82 Vol.
6%
Fabio Di Giannantonio
$32 Vol.
5%
Francesco Bagnaia
$182 Vol.
4%
Brad Binder
$19 Vol.
3%
Pol Espargaro
$19 Vol.
3%
Jack Miller
$34 Vol.
1%
Alex Rins
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jorge Martin holds the 2026 MotoGP points lead at 256 after 13 rounds, narrowly ahead of Marc Márquez on 237 and Marco Bezzecchi on 232, with Fabio Di Giannantonio and Ai Ogura also within striking distance. Márquez’s recent victories, including a dominant Aragon win, have tightened the championship and boosted his implied probability among traders. Aprilia’s strong form with Martin and Bezzecchi, combined with Ducati’s pace, creates multiple viable title paths. Injury absences for riders like Ogura and Vinales further scramble the field ahead of Misano, sustaining the bunched probabilities as the season’s remaining rounds reward consistency amid unpredictable results.
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$730Data de Término
29 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.motogp.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jorge Martin holds the 2026 MotoGP points lead at 256 after 13 rounds, narrowly ahead of Marc Márquez on 237 and Marco Bezzecchi on 232, with Fabio Di Giannantonio and Ai Ogura also within striking distance. Márquez’s recent victories, including a dominant Aragon win, have tightened the championship and boosted his implied probability among traders. Aprilia’s strong form with Martin and Bezzecchi, combined with Ducati’s pace, creates multiple viable title paths. Injury absences for riders like Ogura and Vinales further scramble the field ahead of Misano, sustaining the bunched probabilities as the season’s remaining rounds reward consistency amid unpredictable results.
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$730Data de Término
29 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.motogp.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorge Martin holds the 2026 MotoGP points lead at 256 after 13 rounds, narrowly ahead of Marc Márquez on 237 and Marco Bezzecchi on 232, with Fabio Di Giannantonio and Ai Ogura also within striking distance. Márquez’s recent victories, including a dominant Aragon win, have tightened the championship and boosted his implied probability among traders. Aprilia’s strong form with Martin and Bezzecchi, combined with Ducati’s pace, creates multiple viable title paths. Injury absences for riders like Ogura and Vinales further scramble the field ahead of Misano, sustaining the bunched probabilities as the season’s remaining rounds reward consistency amid unpredictable results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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