Narendra Modi remains firmly in his third consecutive term as Prime Minister following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current mandate extending through 2029 and no fixed constitutional term limit applying to the office. In June 2026 he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone marked by cabinet resolutions and international recognition that underscored institutional continuity under the NDA coalition. Recent developments through September 2026, including ongoing diplomatic engagements such as BRICS and trade negotiations, plus sustained policy implementation on initiatives like Viksit Bharat, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 94.4% implied probability for “No.” While approval ratings have moderated from prior peaks and coalition dynamics require managing allies, no verified political, health, or institutional developments point to an early exit before the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoModi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Modi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
6% chance
$254,914 Vol.
$254,914 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
6% chance
$254,914 Vol.
$254,914 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly in his third consecutive term as Prime Minister following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current mandate extending through 2029 and no fixed constitutional term limit applying to the office. In June 2026 he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone marked by cabinet resolutions and international recognition that underscored institutional continuity under the NDA coalition. Recent developments through September 2026, including ongoing diplomatic engagements such as BRICS and trade negotiations, plus sustained policy implementation on initiatives like Viksit Bharat, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 94.4% implied probability for “No.” While approval ratings have moderated from prior peaks and coalition dynamics require managing allies, no verified political, health, or institutional developments point to an early exit before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$254,914Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly in his third consecutive term as Prime Minister following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current mandate extending through 2029 and no fixed constitutional term limit applying to the office. In June 2026 he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone marked by cabinet resolutions and international recognition that underscored institutional continuity under the NDA coalition. Recent developments through September 2026, including ongoing diplomatic engagements such as BRICS and trade negotiations, plus sustained policy implementation on initiatives like Viksit Bharat, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 94.4% implied probability for “No.” While approval ratings have moderated from prior peaks and coalition dynamics require managing allies, no verified political, health, or institutional developments point to an early exit before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Narendra Modi remains firmly in his third consecutive term as Prime Minister following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current mandate extending through 2029 and no fixed constitutional term limit applying to the office. In June 2026 he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone marked by cabinet resolutions and international recognition that underscored institutional continuity under the NDA coalition. Recent developments through September 2026, including ongoing diplomatic engagements such as BRICS and trade negotiations, plus sustained policy implementation on initiatives like Viksit Bharat, reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 94.4% implied probability for “No.” While approval ratings have moderated from prior peaks and coalition dynamics require managing allies, no verified political, health, or institutional developments point to an early exit before the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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