The US trade embargo, reinforced by secondary sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration, remains the dominant barrier preventing McDonald’s from announcing operations in Cuba. Intensified measures since early 2026, including designations targeting Cuban state-linked entities and restrictions on foreign shipping and financing, have raised compliance risks for any US-headquartered company. Cuba’s June announcement of Decree 167 and related reforms authorizing foreign franchises created theoretical openings, yet these steps have not altered the legal and financial obstacles posed by US policy. With no public indications of licensing approvals or corporate interest materializing amid ongoing economic pressure and a September 2026 sanctions environment, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 announcement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
7% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
Sim
7% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US trade embargo, reinforced by secondary sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration, remains the dominant barrier preventing McDonald’s from announcing operations in Cuba. Intensified measures since early 2026, including designations targeting Cuban state-linked entities and restrictions on foreign shipping and financing, have raised compliance risks for any US-headquartered company. Cuba’s June announcement of Decree 167 and related reforms authorizing foreign franchises created theoretical openings, yet these steps have not altered the legal and financial obstacles posed by US policy. With no public indications of licensing approvals or corporate interest materializing amid ongoing economic pressure and a September 2026 sanctions environment, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,719Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US trade embargo, reinforced by secondary sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration, remains the dominant barrier preventing McDonald’s from announcing operations in Cuba. Intensified measures since early 2026, including designations targeting Cuban state-linked entities and restrictions on foreign shipping and financing, have raised compliance risks for any US-headquartered company. Cuba’s June announcement of Decree 167 and related reforms authorizing foreign franchises created theoretical openings, yet these steps have not altered the legal and financial obstacles posed by US policy. With no public indications of licensing approvals or corporate interest materializing amid ongoing economic pressure and a September 2026 sanctions environment, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,719Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US trade embargo, reinforced by secondary sanctions and executive actions under the Trump administration, remains the dominant barrier preventing McDonald’s from announcing operations in Cuba. Intensified measures since early 2026, including designations targeting Cuban state-linked entities and restrictions on foreign shipping and financing, have raised compliance risks for any US-headquartered company. Cuba’s June announcement of Decree 167 and related reforms authorizing foreign franchises created theoretical openings, yet these steps have not altered the legal and financial obstacles posed by US policy. With no public indications of licensing approvals or corporate interest materializing amid ongoing economic pressure and a September 2026 sanctions environment, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 announcement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions