Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's deep Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with 67 percent against limited opposition and maintains substantial fundraising advantages. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after independent Todd Achilles entered with party support, leaving fragmented opposition. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 18-19 points in head-to-head matchups. While late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically shift dynamics before the November vote, Idaho's structural partisan balance and Risch's incumbency create significant barriers to any challenge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Idaho
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Idaho
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democrata 3.2%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$33,321 Vol.
$33,321 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Democrata
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democrata 3.2%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$33,321 Vol.
$33,321 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,749 Vol.
96%
Democrata
$14,397 Vol.
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's deep Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with 67 percent against limited opposition and maintains substantial fundraising advantages. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after independent Todd Achilles entered with party support, leaving fragmented opposition. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 18-19 points in head-to-head matchups. While late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically shift dynamics before the November vote, Idaho's structural partisan balance and Risch's incumbency create significant barriers to any challenge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$33,321Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's deep Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with 67 percent against limited opposition and maintains substantial fundraising advantages. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after independent Todd Achilles entered with party support, leaving fragmented opposition. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 18-19 points in head-to-head matchups. While late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically shift dynamics before the November vote, Idaho's structural partisan balance and Risch's incumbency create significant barriers to any challenge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,321Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's deep Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with 67 percent against limited opposition and maintains substantial fundraising advantages. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after independent Todd Achilles entered with party support, leaving fragmented opposition. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by roughly 18-19 points in head-to-head matchups. While late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically shift dynamics before the November vote, Idaho's structural partisan balance and Risch's incumbency create significant barriers to any challenge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions