Die Linke secured approximately 25.7 percent of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, more than doubling its 2023 share and achieving its strongest historical result in the city-state. This outcome, driven by strong support on housing policy and among younger voters, produced a decisive lead over the CDU and other parties while ending the prior CDU-SPD coalition. Provisional and early official tallies have remained consistent above 23 percent, aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on the 23 percent-plus band. Final certification could still incorporate minor adjustments from remaining counts or recounts, though such shifts have not altered the established range in comparable past elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado23%+ 100.0%
<17% <1%
17–20% <1%
20-23% <1%
$97,509 Vol.
$97,509 Vol.
<17%
Não
17–20%
Não
20-23%
Não
23%+
Sim
23%+ 100.0%
<17% <1%
17–20% <1%
20-23% <1%
$97,509 Vol.
$97,509 Vol.
<17%
Não
17–20%
Não
20-23%
Não
23%+
Sim
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Die Linke secured approximately 25.7 percent of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, more than doubling its 2023 share and achieving its strongest historical result in the city-state. This outcome, driven by strong support on housing policy and among younger voters, produced a decisive lead over the CDU and other parties while ending the prior CDU-SPD coalition. Provisional and early official tallies have remained consistent above 23 percent, aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on the 23 percent-plus band. Final certification could still incorporate minor adjustments from remaining counts or recounts, though such shifts have not altered the established range in comparable past elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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