Recent discussions at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit have highlighted the possibility of a trilateral meeting among Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping at the APEC forum in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November. This development has aligned trader sentiment with China as the leading venue, reflecting its role as host and the diplomatic momentum around multilateral engagement on Ukraine-related issues. Ongoing U.S. envoy visits to Moscow and a recent Trump-Putin phone call signal continued bilateral dialogue, yet no firm commitments have emerged for meetings in the United States, Russia, or other locations by year-end. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by December 31 captures uncertainty over whether stalled negotiations will produce a summit within the timeframe, consistent with historical patterns of prolonged diplomatic processes in U.S.-Russia relations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina 63%
No meeting by December 31 32%
United States 3.5%
Gulf country <1%
$1,161,198 Wol.
$1,161,198 Wol.
China
63%
No meeting by December 31
32%
United States
4%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 63%
No meeting by December 31 32%
United States 3.5%
Gulf country <1%
$1,161,198 Wol.
$1,161,198 Wol.
China
63%
No meeting by December 31
32%
United States
4%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent discussions at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit have highlighted the possibility of a trilateral meeting among Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping at the APEC forum in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November. This development has aligned trader sentiment with China as the leading venue, reflecting its role as host and the diplomatic momentum around multilateral engagement on Ukraine-related issues. Ongoing U.S. envoy visits to Moscow and a recent Trump-Putin phone call signal continued bilateral dialogue, yet no firm commitments have emerged for meetings in the United States, Russia, or other locations by year-end. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by December 31 captures uncertainty over whether stalled negotiations will produce a summit within the timeframe, consistent with historical patterns of prolonged diplomatic processes in U.S.-Russia relations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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