Recent diplomatic shuttle efforts by U.S. envoys have revived talk of trilateral negotiations, yet the core matchup dynamics show no meaningful concessions from either side, leaving the implied probability of a full ceasefire-plus-neutrality-plus-treaty combo by year-end at just 6.5 percent. Russia maintains strong recent form on the battlefield with incremental territorial gains and repeated rejection of limited truces, while Ukraine’s defensive setup holds firm against demands for Donbas withdrawals and NATO neutrality. No roster adjustments or injury recoveries have shifted the entrenched positions, and historical patterns of stalled talks reinforce trader consensus that the contest will extend well beyond the current schedule.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7% szansa
$617,945 Wol.
$617,945 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% szansa
$617,945 Wol.
$617,945 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent diplomatic shuttle efforts by U.S. envoys have revived talk of trilateral negotiations, yet the core matchup dynamics show no meaningful concessions from either side, leaving the implied probability of a full ceasefire-plus-neutrality-plus-treaty combo by year-end at just 6.5 percent. Russia maintains strong recent form on the battlefield with incremental territorial gains and repeated rejection of limited truces, while Ukraine’s defensive setup holds firm against demands for Donbas withdrawals and NATO neutrality. No roster adjustments or injury recoveries have shifted the entrenched positions, and historical patterns of stalled talks reinforce trader consensus that the contest will extend well beyond the current schedule.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$617,945Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent diplomatic shuttle efforts by U.S. envoys have revived talk of trilateral negotiations, yet the core matchup dynamics show no meaningful concessions from either side, leaving the implied probability of a full ceasefire-plus-neutrality-plus-treaty combo by year-end at just 6.5 percent. Russia maintains strong recent form on the battlefield with incremental territorial gains and repeated rejection of limited truces, while Ukraine’s defensive setup holds firm against demands for Donbas withdrawals and NATO neutrality. No roster adjustments or injury recoveries have shifted the entrenched positions, and historical patterns of stalled talks reinforce trader consensus that the contest will extend well beyond the current schedule.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Wolumen
$617,945Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic shuttle efforts by U.S. envoys have revived talk of trilateral negotiations, yet the core matchup dynamics show no meaningful concessions from either side, leaving the implied probability of a full ceasefire-plus-neutrality-plus-treaty combo by year-end at just 6.5 percent. Russia maintains strong recent form on the battlefield with incremental territorial gains and repeated rejection of limited truces, while Ukraine’s defensive setup holds firm against demands for Donbas withdrawals and NATO neutrality. No roster adjustments or injury recoveries have shifted the entrenched positions, and historical patterns of stalled talks reinforce trader consensus that the contest will extend well beyond the current schedule.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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