Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and his established record as a three-term senator. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with over 67% of the vote amid limited opposition. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative and Army veteran positioning himself as a moderate alternative. However, Risch maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from historical voting patterns in a state where Republicans have won Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or unexpected national political changes could influence the final outcome before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R) 96.0%
Democrat 2.4%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,084 Wol.
$33,084 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Democrat
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 96.0%
Democrat 2.4%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,084 Wol.
$33,084 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,512 Wol.
96%
Democrat
$14,397 Wol.
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and his established record as a three-term senator. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with over 67% of the vote amid limited opposition. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative and Army veteran positioning himself as a moderate alternative. However, Risch maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from historical voting patterns in a state where Republicans have won Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or unexpected national political changes could influence the final outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$33,084Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and his established record as a three-term senator. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with over 67% of the vote amid limited opposition. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative and Army veteran positioning himself as a moderate alternative. However, Risch maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from historical voting patterns in a state where Republicans have won Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or unexpected national political changes could influence the final outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$33,084Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and his established record as a three-term senator. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with over 67% of the vote amid limited opposition. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative and Army veteran positioning himself as a moderate alternative. However, Risch maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from historical voting patterns in a state where Republicans have won Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or unexpected national political changes could influence the final outcome before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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