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icon for Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?
Świat·Strajk

Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?

icon for Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?
Świat·Strajk

Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?

8 65.2%

9 30.4%

10 2.3%

11 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,707,031 Wol.

8 65.2%

9 30.4%

10 2.3%

11 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,707,031 Wol.

icon for 8

8

$320,445 Wol.

65%

icon for 9

9

$122,787 Wol.

30%

icon for 10

10

$30,732 Wol.

2%

icon for 11

11

$29,710 Wol.

2%

icon for 12

12

$50,199 Wol.

1%

icon for 13

13

$103,733 Wol.

1%

icon for 14

14

$152,420 Wol.

<1%

icon for 15+

15+

$130,852 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military actions in 2026 have centered on sustained operations in the Middle East and counter-narcotics efforts in Latin America and Africa.** Strikes against Iran resumed in early September following Iranian attacks on shipping and US forces, building on Operation Epic Fury that began in February. Direct intervention in Venezuela started in January with the capture of Nicolás Maduro and continued with vessel interdictions and targeted strikes. Counterterrorism airstrikes persisted in Somalia (dozens confirmed through mid-year) and Syria (into April), alongside operations in Ecuador from March and reported actions tied to Iraq-based militias and Nigerian targets. These established theaters, combined with ongoing naval and air activity in the Caribbean and Pacific linked to drug trafficking networks, have positioned eight or nine countries as the leading outcomes in trader assessments. Recent escalations with Iran have reinforced existing probabilities without triggering broader new conflicts, while structural limits on expanding to additional nations—such as diplomatic constraints, resource allocation amid the Iran campaign, and focus on narco-terror designations—support the current market consensus around this narrow range. Scheduled diplomatic or military reviews later in the year could still influence final counts if they prompt additional targeted actions.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,707,031
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military actions in 2026 have centered on sustained operations in the Middle East and counter-narcotics efforts in Latin America and Africa.** Strikes against Iran resumed in early September following Iranian attacks on shipping and US forces, building on Operation Epic Fury that began in February. Direct intervention in Venezuela started in January with the capture of Nicolás Maduro and continued with vessel interdictions and targeted strikes. Counterterrorism airstrikes persisted in Somalia (dozens confirmed through mid-year) and Syria (into April), alongside operations in Ecuador from March and reported actions tied to Iraq-based militias and Nigerian targets. These established theaters, combined with ongoing naval and air activity in the Caribbean and Pacific linked to drug trafficking networks, have positioned eight or nine countries as the leading outcomes in trader assessments. Recent escalations with Iran have reinforced existing probabilities without triggering broader new conflicts, while structural limits on expanding to additional nations—such as diplomatic constraints, resource allocation amid the Iran campaign, and focus on narco-terror designations—support the current market consensus around this narrow range. Scheduled diplomatic or military reviews later in the year could still influence final counts if they prompt additional targeted actions.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,707,031
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "8" z 65%, za nim "9" z 30%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 65¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 65% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?" wygenerował $1.7 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 13, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?" jest "8" z 65%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 65% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "9" z 30%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Na ile różnych krajów USA przeprowadzi działania zbrojne w 2026 roku?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.