Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflecting Hawaii's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and his strong primary performance. Green secured his party's nomination on August 8 with 88.5% of the vote, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with 75.9% in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2006. Trader consensus at current levels aligns with these fundamentals, including Green's fundraising edge and limited recent polling shifts. An upset would require a late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment affecting voter turnout in this heavily Democratic state.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
$15,685 Wol.
$15,685 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Josh Green (D)
97%
Gary Cordery (R)
1%
$15,685 Wol.
$15,685 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Josh Green (D)
$7,024 Wol.
97%
Gary Cordery (R)
$8,661 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflecting Hawaii's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and his strong primary performance. Green secured his party's nomination on August 8 with 88.5% of the vote, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with 75.9% in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2006. Trader consensus at current levels aligns with these fundamentals, including Green's fundraising edge and limited recent polling shifts. An upset would require a late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment affecting voter turnout in this heavily Democratic state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,685Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflecting Hawaii's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and his strong primary performance. Green secured his party's nomination on August 8 with 88.5% of the vote, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with 75.9% in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2006. Trader consensus at current levels aligns with these fundamentals, including Green's fundraising edge and limited recent polling shifts. An upset would require a late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment affecting voter turnout in this heavily Democratic state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$15,685Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflecting Hawaii's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and his strong primary performance. Green secured his party's nomination on August 8 with 88.5% of the vote, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with 75.9% in his primary. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and the absence of a Republican governor since 2006. Trader consensus at current levels aligns with these fundamentals, including Green's fundraising edge and limited recent polling shifts. An upset would require a late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment affecting voter turnout in this heavily Democratic state.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania